Just two regular-season games remain for each Southeastern Conference team, and with the new 14-team SEC Tournament format, figuring out how the bracket plays out can be tough, especially with no teams locked into a particular seed yet.
But what fun is March if we don’t try to figure these things out? I wanted to see what the bracket might look like if it plays out the way that hoops guru Ken Pomeroy (kenpom.com) projects things to play out in the coming weeks.
If things hold to Pomeroy’s form, here would be the final standings and tournament seeds:
1. Florida (15-3)
2. Kentucky (12-6)
3. Missouri (12-6)
4. Ole Miss (12-6)
5. Alabama (12-6)
6. Arkansas (10-8)
7. Tennessee (10-8)
8. Georgia (8-10)
9. Vanderbilt (8-10)
10. LSU (8-10)
11. Texas A&M (8-10)
12. Auburn (4-14)
13. South Carolina (4-14)
14. Mississippi State (3-15)
The first thing you’ll notice is an inordinate amount of ties in the standings; here’s how they were broken (moving down the standings):
a. Kentucky wins four-way tie-breaker by virtue of 2-1 record vs. Alabama, Missouri and Ole Miss.
b. Alabama, by virtue of a 1-2 record against Kentucky, Missouri and Ole Miss, gets the 5-seed.
c. Ole Miss and Missouri would have 2-2 composite records against Kentucky, Alabama and each other. Missouri edges Ole Miss for the 3-seed by virtue of a win over 1-seed Florida (Ole Miss lost to Florida).
d. Arkansas beat Tennessee head-to-head, breaking that tie.
e. Georgia gets the 8-seed with a 3-1 record between Vanderbilt, LSU and Texas A&M. Vanderbilt (9-seed) was 2-1 within the group, LSU (10-seed) was 2-2, and A&M (11) was 1-3.
f. Auburn edges South Carolina for the 12-seed with its win in the head-to-head match-up.
So, your SEC Tournament match-ups would be as follows:
Auburn vs. 13. South Carolina (6:30 Central)
11. Texas A&M vs. 14. Mississippi State (approx. 9 p.m.)
Georgia vs. 9. Vanderbilt (noon)
Auburn/South Carolina winner vs. 5. Alabama (approx. 2:30)
Tennessee vs. 10. LSU (6:30)
A&M/MSUwinner vs. 6. Arkansas (approx. 9)
Georgia-Vanderbilt winner vs. 1. Florida (noon)
Auburn/South Carolina/Alabama vs. 4. Ole Miss (approx. 2:30)
Tennessee/LSU winner vs. 2. Kentucky (6:30)
A&M/MSU/Arkansas winner vs. 3. Missouri
On Saturday, the winners of Friday’s first two games would play, followed by a matchup of the winners of Friday’s last two games. Winners emerging from that game would play in Sunday’s final at noon.